Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +5 (64-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bose | 40 | 9-22 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| F. Hunter | 36 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| C. Iles | 35 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Friend | 34 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Carter | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Franklin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. McCallum | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Ayers | 6 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Foster | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Johnson | 39 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D. Gibson | 38 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Smith IV | 35 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Bonney | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Fields | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| L. Jackson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Stepter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Allen | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter