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2010-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Hartford Hawks UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 (7.6 off)
Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% -

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -6 (68-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hartford Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Zeglinski 40 6-20 2-10 4-4 6 3 2 1 1 18 9 -
M. Burton 40 5-9 2-4 1-2 5 6 1 1 2 13 15 -
M. Sabia 34 5-10 4-7 1-2 8 0 2 2 2 15 15 -
J. Barkers 30 5-8 0-0 6-6 7 3 1 1 1 16 19 -
R. Erickson 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
C. White 15 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
K. Estes 11 1-1 0-0 3-3 2 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
R. Baker 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Minor 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Satchell 33 7-10 1-1 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 16 13 -
C. De La Rosa 29 3-5 0-1 6-8 2 1 1 0 2 12 9 -
N. Groce 27 1-4 0-0 4-4 1 3 0 0 0 6 6 -
S. Grant 25 3-6 3-6 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 10 7 -
J. Wasco 25 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 2 2 1 2 2 7 -
M. Spadafora 19 3-5 1-1 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
C. Gilliam 18 1-7 1-5 2-4 2 1 0 0 2 5 -1 -
R. Jackson 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 4 4 -
B. Neller 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 3 3 -

* = starter