Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2 (82-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fortson | 36 | 9-26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 5 | - |
| M. Powell | 33 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| M. Washington | 33 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| R. Clarke | 32 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Britt | 22 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Welsh | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Farmer | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| G. Bryant | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Nobles | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Varnado | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 27 | - |
| D. Bost | 35 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 6-11 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 15 | - |
| B. Stewart | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Johnson | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Augustus | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| P. Turner | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| R. Osby | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Benock | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Lewis | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Reik | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter