Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Wise | 33 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 6-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - |
| M. Hunter | 26 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| P. Rembert | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Wilder | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Losonsky | 21 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| D. Strings | 21 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Moore | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Folker | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Z. Atkinson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Lalehzadeh | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 37 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 14-16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| D. Calegari | 29 | 10-10 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 18 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Harden | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Malik | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Howley | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Floyd | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Welch | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter