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2010-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 22.3% 77.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% -
Log Adjusted 6.5% 93.5% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +24 (69-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hulls 36 2-7 1-5 0-1 3 1 0 0 2 5 0 -
V. Jones III 36 3-14 0-5 1-2 10 3 0 0 4 7 2 -
C. Watford 34 7-15 0-3 2-3 8 2 1 0 3 16 9 -
J. Rivers 31 2-6 0-0 2-4 3 2 3 0 1 6 7 -
T. Pritchard 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 6 -2 -
B. Capobianco 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
D. Dumes 13 1-3 0-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Elston 10 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
D. Moore 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Bawa 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sims 38 8-13 0-1 4-5 8 2 3 2 2 20 20 -
M. Harris 33 7-14 1-3 6-6 6 3 0 1 4 21 13 -
D. Morris 32 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 4 3 0 1 4 11 -
Z. Novak 32 3-8 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
L. Lucas-Perry 24 2-6 1-4 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 7 4 -
S. Douglass 20 1-5 1-4 1-2 1 2 3 0 2 4 3 -
M. Vogrich 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
A. Wright 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Z. Gibson 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
C. Person 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter