Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +14 (70-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ryan | 40 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| D. Holmes | 33 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | - |
| T. Taylor | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| C. Hopf | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Lacey | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Hudson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Phillips | 38 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| A. Rubin | 35 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 29 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Hill | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Clark | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Thornton | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Lewis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Mishler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Coates | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter