Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.6% | 1.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.6% | 6.4% | -14.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -18 (49-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Emery | 34 | 8-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Haws | 28 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Davies | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Fredette | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| L. Morgan Jr. | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Loyd Jr. | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Miles | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Abouo | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Hartsock | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Magnusson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Zylstra | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 33 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Fletcher | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Fow | 27 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| M. Lyons | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 20 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Brooks | 19 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Z. Bohannon | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Broekhuis | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Merriex | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter