Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +25 (114-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 35 | 12-21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 32 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Al Thornton * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Mardy Collins * | 13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Steve Novak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 39 | 10-20 | 5-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 26 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 33 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jawad Williams * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 19 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Danny Green | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Cedric Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter