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2010-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 7.3% 92.7% -
Bradley-Terry 13.2% 86.8% -
Margin 5.7% 94.3% +15.4 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 76.2% 23.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.8% 49.2% -
Log Adjusted 50.7% 49.3% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dillard 34 5-14 2-5 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 12 5 -
J. Bocot 31 4-8 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 11 6 -
T. Freeman 30 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
A. Booker 27 5-8 0-0 1-5 7 2 0 1 2 11 11 -
C. Fay 24 4-8 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 9 4 -
E. Teague 16 4-7 0-0 6-11 8 0 0 2 2 14 15 -
J. Crowder 14 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
K. Brown-Surles 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Evans 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 4 -
J. Freeman 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Young 29 3-7 0-1 1-4 1 5 1 0 0 7 7 -
J. Carter 24 6-9 1-2 6-6 7 1 1 1 3 19 17 -
C. Harriman 24 2-4 1-2 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
P. Stinnett 22 3-11 0-2 3-3 4 2 1 0 0 9 5 -
D. Ashford 21 4-7 1-3 1-1 4 1 1 0 0 10 9 -
K. Lawson Jr. 20 2-7 0-0 5-6 6 1 0 3 2 9 10 -
E. Wragge 16 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 -1 -
C. Millard 13 2-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
C. Witter 13 0-3 0-1 2-4 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
W. Runnels 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
K. Korver 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Bock 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter