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2010-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 2.8% 97.2% -
Bradley-Terry 8.7% 91.3% -
Margin 3.1% 96.9% +19.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 26.8% 73.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +20 (79-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Sanders 31 1-8 0-3 1-3 2 3 0 0 1 3 -1 -
R. Jackson 27 8-12 1-2 3-3 3 1 0 0 3 20 9 -
B. Paris 25 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 4 1 -
J. Trapani 24 2-7 0-3 4-4 4 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
D. Elmore 20 1-3 0-0 4-6 3 1 3 0 0 6 10 -
C. Raji 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Roche 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 3 1 4 4 -
J. Southern 16 2-3 0-0 3-6 2 0 0 1 1 7 6 -
E. Ravenel 15 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 2 0 4 4 -
C. Dunn 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scheyer 36 4-12 1-6 3-4 2 4 0 0 1 12 5 -
N. Smith 34 9-14 0-1 6-7 1 4 3 0 2 24 16 -
K. Singler 31 5-9 0-2 5-7 10 1 3 1 3 15 18 -
M. Plumlee 20 2-10 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 0 -
M. Plumlee 19 5-6 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 1 12 12 -
L. Thomas 19 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
A. Dawkins 17 0-3 0-2 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
B. Zoubek 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 1 0 6 14 -
R. Kelly 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Davidson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter