Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +7 (60-53). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ralph Sampson III | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Damian Johnson | 30 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| L. Westbrook | 28 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 6 | - |
| A. Nolen | 28 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Hoffarber | 28 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Devoe Joseph | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Justin Cobbs | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Paul Carter | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Colton Iverson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rodney Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Bostick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalin Lucas | 35 | 3-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Durrell Summers | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Draymond Green | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Allen | 29 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Raymar Morgan | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Roe | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Lucious | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| G. Sherman | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Herzog | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter