Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +7 (60-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sampson III | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Johnson | 30 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| L. Westbrook | 28 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 6 | - |
| A. Nolen | 28 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Hoffarber | 28 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Joseph | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Cobbs | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Carter | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Iverson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Bostick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 35 | 3-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Summers | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Green | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Allen | 29 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Morgan | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Roe | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Lucious | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Nix | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| G. Sherman | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Herzog | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter