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2010-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 78.8% 21.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.6% 37.4% - โœ“
Margin 73.3% 26.7% -5.6 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.0% 13.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 87.3% 12.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.8% 38.2% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -10 (50-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 40 7-12 1-5 4-4 5 1 1 0 0 19 14 -
T. Hughes 40 5-15 4-10 2-4 7 3 0 1 3 16 9 -
J. Taylor 37 3-11 1-5 3-4 5 7 0 0 0 10 11 -
T. Jarmusz 33 1-3 1-3 0-1 5 2 0 1 0 3 8 -
K. Nankivil 32 2-6 0-3 4-4 5 0 1 1 1 8 8 -
M. Bruesewitz 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
R. Evans 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Wilson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shurna 40 5-11 1-3 4-4 5 1 0 2 0 15 12 -
M. Thompson 40 2-8 0-2 0-1 1 4 0 0 2 4 -1 -
J. Nash 38 5-10 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 13 5 -
D. Crawford 36 3-9 2-4 2-6 7 1 0 0 0 10 9 -
L. Mirkovic 34 3-7 1-2 1-3 10 6 1 0 0 8 18 -
K. Rowley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
A. Marcotullio 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter