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2010-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% -4.3 โœ“ (5.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 62.4% 37.6% - โœ“
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 โœ— (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—

Actual: UConn Huskies -10 (57-67). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ashton Gibbs * 37 6-15 3-5 4-5 4 3 2 0 4 19 9 -
Jermaine Dixon * 37 3-14 0-3 0-1 7 1 0 1 1 6 0 -
Brad Wanamaker * 30 5-10 0-1 9-10 4 3 3 0 1 19 18 -
Gary McGhee * 28 3-5 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 2 1 8 14 -
Nasir Robinson * 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
Gilbert Brown 26 4-7 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 11 5 -
Tray Woodall 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
Dante Taylor 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 4 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Robinson * 39 9-17 1-3 0-1 2 0 1 0 2 19 3 -
Kemba Walker * 37 4-11 0-1 2-2 7 7 2 0 2 10 13 -
Jerome Dyson * 35 5-14 0-1 4-8 1 3 0 0 6 14 -2 -
Alex Oriakhi * 32 2-4 0-0 0-2 9 0 0 2 1 4 10 -
A. Majok * 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 4 6 -
G. Edwards 33 3-6 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 3 2 6 12 -
D. Beverly 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jamal Coombs-McDaniel 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Darius Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Okwandu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter