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2010-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% -
Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% -
Log Adjusted 71.1% 28.9% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Turner 40 11-21 1-1 9-10 9 3 1 0 6 32 18 -
D. Lighty 40 2-9 1-4 0-0 0 3 3 0 4 5 -2 -
J. Diebler 37 2-4 1-3 1-2 6 2 2 0 1 6 11 -
W. Buford 36 7-10 1-2 4-4 7 2 1 1 3 19 17 -
D. Lauderdale 24 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 2 1 1 3 6 -
K. Madsen 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Simmons 4 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
P.J. Hill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 37 8-17 2-7 1-4 4 3 2 0 1 19 10 -
J. Johnson 36 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 3 2 4 7 -
R. Hummel 36 11-19 8-13 5-5 10 0 1 0 0 35 27 -
K. Grant 26 1-6 0-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 4 4 -1 -
K. Barlow 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 5 2 3 -
R. Smith 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
C. Kramer 15 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 3 1 0 2 2 3 -
D.J. Byrd 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
P. Bade 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter