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2010-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% -
Log Adjusted 53.4% 46.6% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -7 (57-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Haynes 37 2-9 2-2 2-5 4 1 0 0 3 8 1 -
D. Deane 32 3-5 1-2 8-10 8 2 0 1 1 15 20 -
S. Tarver 29 6-11 0-3 3-4 3 0 4 0 1 15 10 -
R. Schaftenaar 24 4-8 0-0 3-6 6 2 1 1 3 11 10 -
J. Tarver 22 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 1 0 2 8 -
O. Johnson 19 1-6 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 2 0 -
L. Wallace 18 2-4 1-3 3-4 0 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
K. McShane 10 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
J. Cunningham 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Burton 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 37 6-20 3-11 5-5 4 4 0 0 4 20 4 -
M. Armstead 28 3-8 0-1 3-4 2 4 0 0 6 9 1 -
M. Dunigan 20 2-2 0-0 4-5 8 0 1 1 0 8 16 -
E.J. Singler 20 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
G. Sim 19 0-5 0-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -4 -
L. Longmire 19 2-6 0-1 1-3 2 0 4 0 0 5 5 -
T. Williams 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 2 4 -
J. Jacob 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
J. Wilson 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
J. Crittle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Wiley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter