Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks -7 (57-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Haynes | 37 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Deane | 32 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| S. Tarver | 29 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| R. Schaftenaar | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Tarver | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| O. Johnson | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Wallace | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. McShane | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Cunningham | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Burton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Porter | 37 | 6-20 | 3-11 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 4 | - |
| M. Armstead | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | - |
| M. Dunigan | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| E.J. Singler | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Sim | 19 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| L. Longmire | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Williams | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Jacob | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Wilson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Crittle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Wiley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter