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2010-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% -
Bradley-Terry 90.2% 9.8% -
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% -
Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.3% 18.7% -
Log Adjusted 81.3% 18.7% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gaddy 32 5-7 0-0 3-6 1 1 0 0 3 13 5 -
Q. Pondexter 31 2-5 0-0 3-3 3 3 1 0 2 7 7 -
I. Thomas 30 7-14 1-6 3-5 5 5 0 0 2 18 12 -
D. Gant 24 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 23 1-6 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
E. Turner Jr. 19 4-8 3-6 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 12 6 -
S. Suggs 17 1-3 1-3 3-4 1 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
V. Overton 15 2-5 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
T. Breshers 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
C. Trent 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Fogg 33 5-10 1-2 3-5 4 4 1 0 1 14 12 -
D. Williams 31 3-6 0-1 6-6 9 1 0 0 3 12 13 -
J. Horne 31 8-14 5-8 1-2 6 0 2 0 4 22 12 -
N. Wise 30 3-7 1-4 7-9 3 3 3 0 1 14 15 -
K. Parrom 24 2-8 0-1 6-6 7 1 0 0 0 10 10 -
S. Hill 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 0 2 -
B. Lavender 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Jones 12 5-6 1-1 2-4 1 0 1 0 0 13 9 -
K. Natyazhko 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D.J. Shumpert 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter