Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (118-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Brooks * | 42 | 11-22 | 6-12 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 18 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 33 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 33 | 14-23 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 22 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| David Andersen * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Channing Frye * | 41 | 8-14 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 11-16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 17 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -4 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter