Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | -0.7 | ✗ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ford | 33 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| T. Smith | 32 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Young | 30 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| S. Willard | 27 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Eveland | 23 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Nunnally | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Huddleston | 14 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Neufville | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Lamar | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nunnally | 32 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 8-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| W. Brew | 31 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| O. Johnson | 31 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 6-10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 20 | - |
| J. Serna | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Powell | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Weiner | 18 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Brew | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Somogyi | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Phippen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Devenny | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter