Model Predictions
| Model | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -1.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats -10 (68-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Appalachian State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Butts | 38 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | - |
| D. Sims | 38 | 13-19 | 5-7 | 13-13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 28 | - |
| J. Booth | 34 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Brand | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Hunter | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| N. Healy | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Williamson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Wright | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Abraham | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Webb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kuhlman | 39 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| B. McKillop | 39 | 3-13 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Allison | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Rossiter | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| W. Archambault | 23 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| B. Barr | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Cohen | 18 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| F. Ben-Eze | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Cochran | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter