🐻⬇️🏀

@
2010-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 27.6% 72.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 69.7% 30.3% -
Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% -
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +14 (78-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Delaney 38 6-13 2-5 12-14 5 6 2 0 6 26 20 -
T. Bell 33 2-11 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 5 2 -
D. Hudson 32 7-22 0-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 14 -6 -
J. Allen 27 2-5 0-0 0-1 7 1 3 1 1 4 10 -
J. Thompson 19 4-6 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
V. Davila 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 4 8 -
C. Raines 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
E. Green 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
B. Boggs 5 0-1 0-1 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
L. Witcher 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Atkins 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Davis 35 7-11 0-0 6-7 11 0 0 4 4 20 20 -
W. Graves 28 5-10 3-7 0-1 6 1 1 2 0 13 13 -
L. Drew II 28 4-4 2-2 4-4 2 8 2 0 2 14 20 -
D. Strickland 21 3-4 0-1 1-3 3 3 1 0 1 7 9 -
D. Thompson 20 4-7 0-0 5-6 3 0 0 1 2 13 8 -
M. Ginyard 20 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 3 2 1 -
T. Zeller 20 1-4 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 0 4 3 2 -
L. McDonald 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
J. Henson 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 -
T. Wear 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
D. Wear 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter