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2010-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 96.3% 3.7% -
Bradley-Terry 91.4% 8.6% -
Margin 96.5% 3.5% -18.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% -
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 40 4-12 2-8 10-11 3 9 1 0 0 20 21 -
E. Harris 34 7-11 1-2 3-7 7 0 1 0 1 18 14 -
D. Goodson 27 2-5 0-1 0-1 2 3 0 0 0 4 4 -
S. Gray 23 1-8 0-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 2 -5 -
K. Olynyk 22 4-6 1-1 4-5 7 1 1 0 0 13 16 -
B. Kong 17 4-6 2-4 2-4 4 1 0 0 1 12 10 -
R. Sacre 15 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 2 4 2 -
W. Foster 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Arop 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
G.J. Vilarino 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
G. Gibbs 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 35 7-14 0-3 1-2 6 2 1 0 3 15 7 -
T.J. Campbell 34 3-11 0-2 2-3 5 12 0 0 0 8 14 -
E. Niedermeyer 27 1-7 1-5 1-2 2 1 0 1 0 4 1 -
J. Stohl 27 6-11 6-9 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 18 12 -
R. Smeulders 26 9-10 0-0 6-10 4 0 0 1 0 24 19 -
L. Sikma 24 3-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 0 7 11 -
K. Knutson 19 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Ito 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
J. Hannibal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter