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2010-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 80.2% 19.8% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 81.8% 18.2% -
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% -
Log Adjusted 93.4% 6.6% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -18 (53-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 27 4-9 0-2 6-6 0 4 1 0 2 14 8 -
C. Allen 26 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 10 6 -
D. Summers 25 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
R. Morgan 25 5-10 0-1 2-4 7 2 0 0 4 12 7 -
K. Lucious 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 5 9 -
D. Roe 20 2-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
D. Green 19 6-9 0-1 2-2 11 4 1 0 2 14 19 -
G. Sherman 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
D. Nix 9 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
A. Thornton 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Herzog 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
J. Crandell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Dahlman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Kebler 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. May 36 2-7 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 5 2 -
M. Gatens 34 6-12 1-5 3-4 0 5 1 0 4 16 6 -
C. Payne 30 4-8 1-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 5 9 4 -
J. Cole 22 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
B. Cougill 21 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
A. Fuller 19 2-5 0-1 2-3 3 0 1 0 2 6 3 -
J. Lickliter 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
A. Brommer 14 1-2 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 0 0 4 7 -
D. Bawinkel 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
N. Neari 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter