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2010-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% -
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% -
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.8 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.5% 39.5% -
Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% -
Log Adjusted 91.0% 9.0% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -15 (44-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Farokhmanesh 32 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Moran 31 2-5 1-3 2-2 6 1 2 0 1 7 10 -
K. Ahelegbe 30 3-12 1-5 6-8 1 4 1 0 4 13 3 -
J. Eglseder 25 8-13 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 16 9 -
A. Koch 24 4-6 2-3 5-6 3 2 2 0 0 15 16 -
K. Dunham 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 0 3 -
L. O'Rear 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 7 -
J. Koch 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
M. Sonnen 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. James 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Eldridge 36 4-14 2-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 10 -4 -
L. Phillips 35 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 6 1 0 4 3 3 -
A. Rubin 34 4-6 4-5 1-2 0 3 4 0 0 13 14 -
D. Odiakosa 33 5-12 0-0 0-2 14 0 0 2 2 10 12 -
J. Carmichael 22 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
K. Thornton 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Hill 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
T. Lewis 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Clark 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter