Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | -0.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -15 (44-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Farokhmanesh | 32 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Moran | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| K. Ahelegbe | 30 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 25 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| A. Koch | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| K. Dunham | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. O'Rear | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Koch | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Sonnen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. James | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 36 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -4 | - |
| L. Phillips | 35 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Rubin | 34 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Thornton | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Hill | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Lewis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter