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2010-01-08

Model Predictions

Model North Florida Ospreys Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Spread Result
Elo 60.9% 39.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% - โœ“
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.9 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.3% 33.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 66.5% 33.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“

Actual: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles -6 (56-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Haugabrook 37 6-10 0-0 2-4 4 4 1 0 3 14 10 -
J. Granberry 28 3-6 3-5 3-4 5 2 0 0 2 12 11 -
S. Januska 27 3-9 3-8 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 12 6 -
A. Diaz 22 2-5 0-0 2-6 4 1 0 0 4 6 2 -
E. Cuka 20 2-7 2-4 3-3 2 1 0 0 1 9 4 -
G. Sparkes 20 0-4 0-4 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 1 0 -
M. Sauey 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
K. Groothuis 13 2-3 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Jeune 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
W. Wilson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Baker 34 7-10 0-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 15 10 -
R. Chambers 33 2-10 0-6 2-3 3 7 1 0 4 6 3 -
A. Banks 31 5-10 0-0 4-4 9 0 1 1 1 14 14 -
D. O'Neil 23 3-5 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 1 1 7 7 -
K. Marks 21 3-8 0-0 2-4 6 1 1 5 3 8 10 -
C. Lutkenhaus 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
E. Rolax 13 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
S. Brown 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 1 8 -
C. Lytle 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. Murray 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
H. Miller 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter