Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -12 (62-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Stanback | 33 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 31 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Jasper | 30 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Willis | 27 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| K. Wallace | 23 | 7-10 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| M. Shaw | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Santee | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Massamba | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Marshall | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hobson | 36 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Martinez | 36 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| P. McDonald | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| D. Gary | 34 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 13-15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Brown | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Fenton | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Garth | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Dennis | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Adams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter