Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.0% | 14.0% | -10.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -18 (65-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pitts | 31 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| C. Lutz | 31 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| H. Whiteside | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Wilkerson | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| S. Johnson | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. Pena | 19 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Spikes | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Merthie | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Miller | 7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Morrow | 40 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| B. Young | 38 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 34 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Abrams | 30 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| C. Wynn | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Joyner | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Straughn | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| W. Ellison | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Gaines | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Sargent | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter