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2010-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 18.9% 81.1% +9.1 โœ“ (22.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“
Margin 12.9% 87.1% +10.5 โœ“ (21.5 off)
Pythagorean 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +32 (90-58). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Nelson 34 6-13 1-3 3-3 2 0 1 0 0 16 6 -
Melvin Jones 32 3-8 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Dominic Waters 31 4-7 0-3 5-6 0 5 0 0 5 13 6 -
P. Guede 25 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
Jamie Jones 23 3-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 0 8 8 -
C. Harriel 18 0-2 0-2 4-8 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
P. Thomas 17 2-5 0-0 4-6 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
Dane Johnson 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
A. Brandon 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Bansemer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Johnson 37 6-12 1-2 7-7 1 4 0 0 2 20 11 -
Brian Qvale 28 8-9 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 0 19 15 -
R. Staudacher 26 5-7 2-4 3-3 5 2 1 1 0 15 17 -
J. McGillis 22 1-3 0-1 3-4 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
Will Cherry 19 2-8 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 5 1 -
Michael Taylor 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 0 5 -
R. Young 17 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
D. Selvig 17 4-4 3-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 11 16 -
M. Ward 12 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
S. Stockton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Ryan Nelson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter