Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -17 (49-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Torrance | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Knox | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Brock | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Green | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Hillman | 25 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| C. Davis | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Hines | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 11 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Eblen | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Dixon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Luquire | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell | 38 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| B. Spencer | 37 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | - |
| C. Bass | 35 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Dotson | 31 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Warren | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Harris | 15 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Z. Kinsley | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Ludwig | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Green | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter