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2010-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 80.5% 19.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 79.0% 21.0% -
Efficiency 76.9% 23.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.7% 7.3% -
Log Adjusted 92.7% 7.3% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -17 (49-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Torrance 33 4-9 0-1 4-4 3 4 0 0 1 12 9 -
J. Knox 30 3-8 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 0 4 9 4 -
A. Brock 28 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 3 6 -
J. Green 25 6-11 0-0 2-2 4 1 2 1 2 14 9 -
S. Hillman 25 6-10 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 13 9 -
C. Davis 21 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 0 -
C. Hines 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 0 6 9 -
T. Mitchell 11 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
B. Eblen 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Dixon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Luquire 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 38 5-15 0-2 1-2 9 1 3 0 2 11 7 -
B. Spencer 37 4-11 3-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 13 2 -
C. Bass 35 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 3 5 -
A. Dotson 31 1-6 0-4 1-2 3 2 1 2 3 3 2 -
S. Warren 19 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
D. Harris 15 5-5 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 12 10 -
Z. Kinsley 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. Ludwig 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
G. Green 7 0-1 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 -

* = starter