Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -6 (60-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Tisdale | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 13-14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 24 | - |
| D. McCamey | 37 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 11-16 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Davis | 33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | - |
| B. Cole | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Jordan | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Paul | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Keller | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rivers | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Hulls | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Watford | 30 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| V. Jones III | 29 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| B. Capobianco | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Dumes | 19 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| D. Elston | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Moore | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter