Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +22 (70-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 37 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Fletcher | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| M. McLain | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Broekhuis | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Fow | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 20 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Lyons | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Brooks | 13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Merriex | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Z. Bohannon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. El-Amin | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 32 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P. Hornung | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| T. Franklin | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Nigon | 25 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. Ogide | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| T. Busch | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| G. Smith | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Dunn | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. McFarland | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Annese | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Perry | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter