Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.0% | 7.0% | -14.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons -21 (62-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dellavedova | 39 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. McConnell | 37 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| B. Allen | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| O. Samhan | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Page | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| M. Young | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Steindl | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Vaughn | 34 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| D. Bryant | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Caloiaro | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| P. Blackwell | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Williams | 22 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Lowhorn | 19 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| M. Diarra | 16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Green | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Bruha | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Wallace | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter