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2010-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Furman Paladins Elon Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% - โœ—
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 โœ— (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.3% 50.7% - โœ—

Actual: Elon Phoenix -5 (48-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Furman Paladins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Miller 37 2-10 1-5 6-6 5 1 1 0 3 11 5 -
J. Dehm 34 3-12 1-7 0-1 4 2 1 0 2 7 0 -
D. Evans 27 2-5 0-3 0-1 1 2 2 0 3 4 1 -
B. Barnes 23 3-7 2-3 2-2 9 0 0 2 4 10 10 -
B. Sebirumbi 22 3-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 9 8 -
A. Saaka 21 3-9 0-2 2-3 10 1 1 0 4 8 7 -
C. Reddick 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 1 2 4 13 -
C. Toler 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Duval 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
N. States 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Long 37 5-13 0-4 0-0 4 3 3 0 0 10 7 -
T.J. Douglas 36 2-8 1-6 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 5 2 -
A. Constantine 32 3-9 0-0 0-2 8 1 1 2 6 6 3 -
T. Birdette 30 1-5 0-1 2-2 3 3 2 0 0 4 7 -
D. Spradlin 25 5-11 1-3 1-3 5 1 1 0 1 12 7 -
D. Carter 24 4-10 0-1 3-6 1 1 4 0 0 11 7 -
D. Watts 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Bonney 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 -2 -

* = starter