Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Willard | 35 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Smith | 34 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J. Ford | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 20 | - |
| D. Young | 30 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| P. Eveland | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Nunnally | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Huddleston | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Neufville | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Williams | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lewis | 32 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 18 | - |
| L. Keeler | 31 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| K. Odister | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Hanson | 26 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| W. Taylor | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Darling | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Lewis | 17 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Brown | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Anderson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter