Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.6% | 18.4% | -11.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.3% | 6.7% | -14.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers -21 (59-80). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Jenkins | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| D. Poole | 25 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Danero Thomas | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Isacc Miles | 22 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| T. Easley | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| I. Aska | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Long | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Canaan | 14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| E. Daniel | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. McClain | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Wilson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Fotso | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sain | 33 | 6-16 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | - |
| J. Nobles | 30 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Crutcher | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Peters | 26 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Cox | 24 | 2-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Robert Covington | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Fredrick | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| L. Funderburke | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Cowan | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Peguero | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| G. Holley | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| H. Nash | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter