Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.6% | 19.4% | -7.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -22 (70-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Sosa | 35 | 9-15 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 16 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 34 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| M. Marra | 26 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Samuels | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| P. Knowles | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Smith | 21 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| T. Jennings | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Delk | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| P. Siva | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Buckles | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brooks | 32 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| J. Peterson | 29 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| V. Council | 29 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| S. Curry | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Dixon | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Mondy | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. McKenzie | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lacy | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Wright | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter