Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Monroe | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| A. Morgan | 32 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| D. Carson | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Gilchrest | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Kilpatrick | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Baldwin | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Tatum | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Little | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Lacey | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Starks | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 35 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 18 | - |
| N. Larson | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| E. Platt | 26 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Lepley | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| G. Rogers | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Wallace | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Flores | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter