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2010-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 73.2% 26.8% -
Bradley-Terry 18.5% 81.5% -
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles +18 (68-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Kellum 0 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 3 0 2 3 7 -
M. Wright 0 7-20 0-2 5-6 6 1 5 0 6 19 5 -
S. Egwu 0 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 -3 -
C. Shine 0 5-13 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 2 1 10 4 -
A. Moorer 0 1-12 0-4 0-5 5 4 0 0 3 2 -4 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Monroe 0 3-6 0-0 4-5 8 0 1 4 1 10 16 -
C. Ward 0 2-8 1-3 7-8 4 1 3 0 7 12 5 -
A. Gray 0 0-2 0-0 2-3 7 3 1 1 3 2 9 -
A. Harvin 0 3-12 2-7 5-6 7 5 1 0 3 13 11 -
A. Deluzio 0 2-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 3 6 3 -

* = starter