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2010-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 5.3% 94.7% -
Bradley-Terry 10.3% 89.7% -
Margin 4.1% 95.9% +17.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% -
Log Adjusted 16.4% 83.6% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +9 (59-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Washington 37 3-10 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 4 6 0 -
T. Fletcher 33 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 3 1 0 0 1 7 -
M. Lyons 30 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 2 1 5 9 -
T. Fow 26 3-8 1-5 1-1 2 0 0 1 2 8 1 -
T. Broekhuis 22 4-7 0-1 3-6 5 0 0 1 2 11 8 -
M. McLain 19 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 1 0 3 2 2 -
M. Fitzgerald 13 2-6 2-4 5-6 3 0 1 0 0 11 9 -
D. Brooks 13 3-4 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
S. Hempsey 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Bohannon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ruzgas 33 2-9 2-7 0-1 2 1 1 0 0 6 1 -
R. Moss 33 4-13 1-6 1-4 3 6 0 0 4 10 2 -
Z. Buljan 31 4-8 0-1 6-7 11 2 2 1 3 14 19 -
K. Butler 29 4-6 0-0 4-6 8 0 0 2 0 12 16 -
N. Cerina 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 2 7 -
X. Roberson 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
G. Hill 18 3-4 1-2 5-6 2 1 0 1 1 12 11 -
K. Mitchem 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
G. Green 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter