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2010-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 74.2% 25.8% -
Bradley-Terry 67.1% 32.9% -
Margin 71.4% 28.6% -5.0 (6.0 off)
Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -11 (71-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Rosen 40 8-12 4-7 8-8 3 2 1 0 4 28 18 -
J. Eggleston 37 2-6 0-2 2-2 11 5 1 1 1 6 17 -
R. Belcore 34 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 6 0 0 3 9 9 -
D. Smith 33 5-10 5-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 15 8 -
C. Turley 29 2-5 1-1 8-10 7 1 1 0 1 13 16 -
D. Monckton 21 3-6 2-3 3-4 3 2 1 1 1 11 11 -
J. Reilly 6 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Spadafora 35 1-4 0-0 2-6 1 1 0 1 0 4 3 -
C. De La Rosa 34 10-15 2-3 6-7 3 5 1 0 0 28 22 -
C. Gilliam 33 6-10 3-5 3-4 3 2 2 0 2 18 13 -
S. Grant 24 1-5 1-3 1-2 2 1 2 0 2 4 2 -
R. Jackson 22 3-10 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
A. Satchell 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Groce 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
B. Neller 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Wasco 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter