Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wells | 37 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Z. Urbanus | 36 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Streeter | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| A. Dahn | 24 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| C. Morabbi | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. DuPont | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Eykyn | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Wolfinger | 13 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Groselle | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Holston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sims | 39 | 8-15 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| I. Butts | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J. Booth | 29 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Brand | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Wright | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Webb | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Williamson | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Hunter | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Abraham | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Healy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter