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2010-01-06

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 5.4% 94.6% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 4.0% 96.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.1% 79.9% -
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis 34 9-16 2-4 4-5 6 4 0 0 7 24 11 -
D. Jasper 29 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 4 3 4 6 -
O. Bellfield 28 3-9 1-4 1-2 2 9 3 0 2 8 11 -
K. Wallace 21 3-5 2-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
C. Stanback 19 1-6 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 3 3 3 -
M. Shaw 14 3-6 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
B. Massamba 14 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
A. Marshall 12 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Santee 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 4 7 -
J. Hawkins 11 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
S. Jones Jr. 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Emery 34 3-11 1-8 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 9 2 -
T. Haws 30 3-9 1-1 5-6 6 3 2 0 0 12 14 -
J. Tavernari 30 4-9 4-8 5-6 9 3 1 2 1 17 22 -
N. Hartsock 27 6-13 0-0 5-6 6 1 1 1 0 17 13 -
J. Fredette 25 2-10 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 7 -4 -
M. Loyd Jr. 16 3-5 1-2 0-2 2 2 0 0 2 7 4 -
C. Miles 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 4 6 -
B. Davies 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 4 1 -
C. Abouo 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
L. Morgan Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Anderson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter