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2010-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% -
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 36 4-12 2-7 4-4 4 1 2 0 0 14 9 -
C. Stanley 30 4-7 1-2 6-6 3 6 0 0 3 15 14 -
R. Wedel 30 3-11 2-7 0-0 5 0 5 0 1 8 6 -
S. VanDeest 28 2-7 0-0 4-5 6 0 1 1 5 8 4 -
A. Templeton 21 4-7 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 9 10 -
B. Simons 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
F. Wiseler 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -2 -
A. Hawley 9 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
R. Uhlenhopp 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Parker 7 2-2 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
B. Eaddy 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stinnett 31 1-9 0-4 2-3 2 3 2 0 0 4 2 -
K. Lawson Jr. 27 8-11 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 3 2 17 13 -
J. Carter 25 6-10 1-1 4-7 7 2 0 0 2 17 14 -
C. Harriman 25 3-5 3-5 1-2 2 2 0 1 1 10 9 -
C. Witter 19 1-4 0-3 5-6 3 3 1 0 2 7 8 -
A. Young 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 5 1 0 1 0 3 -
E. Wragge 15 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
D. Ashford 15 3-6 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 6 8 -
W. Runnels 11 0-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
A. Bock 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Korver 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
C. Millard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter