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2010-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 26.6% 73.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.3% 43.7% -
Log Adjusted 57.0% 43.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +7 (54-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 38 2-5 1-4 5-6 2 3 0 0 0 10 10 -
J. Leuer 36 9-19 3-6 0-0 7 1 2 2 2 21 12 -
J. Taylor 34 2-6 0-3 3-4 1 2 2 0 2 7 4 -
T. Hughes 34 3-13 1-5 0-2 4 1 2 0 2 7 -1 -
T. Jarmusz 27 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
K. Nankivil 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 -
R. Evans 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
R. Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Bruesewitz 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
J. Berggren 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 35 3-13 0-1 4-4 3 1 0 0 3 10 -2 -
C. Allen 31 5-8 2-2 4-4 6 1 1 0 3 16 13 -
D. Green 27 3-4 0-1 5-8 5 3 0 0 1 11 14 -
R. Morgan 27 3-5 0-0 2-5 6 2 1 1 2 8 11 -
D. Summers 26 0-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
D. Roe 21 2-5 0-0 5-7 5 1 0 0 3 9 7 -
K. Lucious 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 0 4 -
D. Nix 11 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Thornton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Sherman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter