Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | โ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | โ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | โ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Florence | 38 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 8-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| J. Smith | 37 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Emerson | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 15-17 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 33 | - |
| E.J. Kusnyer | 26 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| B. Mills | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Moore | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Hall | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Walker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Haugabrook | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| M. Sauey | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Granberry | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| S. Januska | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Diaz | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| G. Sparkes | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| E. Cuka | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Jeune | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Wilson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter