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2010-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears North Florida Ospreys Spread Result
Elo 61.2% 38.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Margin 53.8% 46.2% -0.8 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 62.0% 38.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.5% 31.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% - โœ“

Actual: North Florida Ospreys -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Florence 38 7-15 4-9 8-9 4 4 1 0 2 26 18 -
J. Smith 37 2-7 1-4 3-4 1 6 0 0 3 8 5 -
D. Emerson 34 7-12 0-0 15-17 15 1 2 1 3 29 33 -
E.J. Kusnyer 26 3-7 3-7 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 11 9 -
B. Mills 25 1-4 0-1 2-2 6 2 0 0 2 4 6 -
B. Moore 20 2-5 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
M. Hall 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
B. Walker 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Haugabrook 34 7-12 0-0 5-6 0 6 1 0 1 19 13 -
M. Sauey 29 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 5 2 6 10 -
J. Granberry 27 4-7 2-3 5-6 3 2 0 0 1 15 12 -
S. Januska 25 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 10 5 -
A. Diaz 23 5-11 0-0 1-4 8 0 1 0 0 11 9 -
G. Sparkes 22 3-7 2-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 10 6 -
E. Cuka 18 1-4 1-4 1-2 2 4 1 0 1 4 6 -
D. Jeune 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
W. Wilson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter