Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +17 (59-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. May | 37 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Fuller | 36 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Gatens | 34 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | - |
| C. Payne | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Cole | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Bawinkel | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Cougill | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Lickliter | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Brommer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Neari | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McCamey | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 27 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 26 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Davis | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Cole | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Jordan | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| D. Keller | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Paul | 15 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Griffey | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Semrau | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Chisholm | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Simpson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter