Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Needham | 34 | 12-24 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 7 | - |
| A. Johnson | 34 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Y. Hawkins | 34 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| L. Jordan | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Nickerson | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Olander | 20 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Turner | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| M. Evanovich | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Crawford | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Benn | 38 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| T. Lewis | 37 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 11-12 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| A. Nelson | 35 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| R. Garrison | 32 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 19 | - |
| E. Williams | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Edwards | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Williamson | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Cooley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Gillette | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter