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2010-01-05

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Ole Miss Rebels Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“
Margin 6.2% 93.8% +14.9 โœ“ (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.1% 96.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“

Actual: Ole Miss Rebels +28 (84-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Rompza 31 6-15 0-3 4-5 3 3 3 0 1 16 9 -
M. Jordan 29 4-7 0-1 5-10 3 2 4 0 3 13 12 -
T. Young 25 0-5 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 1 0 -
K. Clanton 24 3-8 0-1 2-2 7 0 1 0 7 8 1 -
A.J. Tyler 21 1-6 0-1 1-2 7 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
P.J. Gaynor 16 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
D. Diakite 16 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
I. Sosa 15 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 1 -
J. Kusmieruk 9 1-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
R.J. Scott 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
D. Speraw 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. O'Donnell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. White 30 7-13 5-9 2-2 4 1 2 0 1 21 14 -
T. Henry 27 4-7 1-3 0-0 8 0 1 6 2 9 15 -
M. Holloway 27 4-7 0-0 3-5 10 0 3 1 1 11 17 -
C. Warren 24 4-8 4-8 2-2 1 4 1 1 4 14 9 -
E. Polynice 24 6-10 0-0 4-6 3 5 2 0 7 16 9 -
T. Gaskins 21 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 0 -1 -
Z. Graham 19 3-7 1-4 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 7 8 -
D. Cranston 16 0-1 0-1 2-4 7 2 0 2 0 2 12 -
R. Buckner 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Riley 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Halford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter