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2010-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% -
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% -
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 63.4% 36.6% -
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% -
Log Adjusted 83.2% 16.8% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -11 (85-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bradley 36 5-8 2-3 0-0 3 5 0 1 1 12 12 -
D. Pittman 27 10-15 0-0 1-1 10 0 0 0 2 21 14 -
G. Johnson 25 7-9 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 0 2 16 12 -
J. Lucas 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 1 2 7 4 -
D. Balbay 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 1 1 6 10 -
J. Hamilton 19 2-7 1-5 0-3 3 2 0 0 3 5 0 -
D. James 17 6-8 0-1 8-10 9 1 0 0 0 20 22 -
J. Mason 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 2 4 -
A. Wangmene 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 4 -
J. Brown 9 2-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 5 -1 -
M. Hill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Clarke 39 8-16 4-10 4-6 3 3 0 0 1 24 13 -
M. Powell 35 6-11 1-4 5-7 6 0 4 1 0 18 18 -
C. Fortson 33 5-16 2-6 7-9 3 7 2 0 6 19 9 -
S. Welsh 27 1-6 0-2 2-3 4 1 3 0 2 4 4 -
M. Washington 20 6-11 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 14 5 -
D. Johnson 18 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
J. Farmer 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
M. Britt 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Cox 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
G. Bryant 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter