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2010-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 44.4% 55.6% +1.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 77.9% 22.1% -
Efficiency 90.0% 10.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% -
Log Adjusted 92.4% 7.6% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -8 (66-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Webster 35 4-6 1-1 6-8 2 2 1 0 3 15 11 -
J. Lin 32 2-5 0-2 2-5 4 9 3 2 4 6 15 -
K. Wright 27 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 1 2 2 7 -
K. Casey 26 6-6 2-2 13-16 8 1 1 0 2 27 29 -
O. McNally 25 2-4 1-3 3-5 2 5 0 0 3 8 8 -
B. Curry 16 0-3 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -4 -
D. Giger 15 4-7 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
D. Miller 10 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
A. Van Nest 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
P. Magnarelli 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
D. McGeary 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Trasolini 33 8-9 1-1 5-7 6 0 1 3 2 22 21 -
R. Cowels III 30 3-12 2-6 3-5 1 3 1 0 1 11 3 -
M. Santos 29 1-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 4 0 -
R. Smith 25 4-7 1-4 5-6 1 4 0 0 6 14 6 -
T. Payne 21 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
N. Harrison 18 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 0 0 3 9 -
B. Dowdell 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 2 4 -
T. Alexander 15 0-2 0-0 2-4 1 2 0 0 2 2 1 -
C. Cunningham 12 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 1 1 2 3 -

* = starter