Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +12 (85-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill | 29 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| L. Daniel | 28 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| V. McGhee | 25 | 2-12 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| K. Daniels | 23 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Menner | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Taylor | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| W. Galick | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Lyles | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Cody | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sypkens | 37 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. Silva | 36 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| D. Calegari | 32 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 27 | - |
| J. Harden | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Welch | 28 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Malik | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Howley | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Floyd | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter